Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 59.688301 67.669488 75.906211 85.011031 94.763262 104.867123 116.097964
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 46.207361 57.348365 69.453895 83.457582 99.088318 115.885279 135.187942
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 38.973044 51.830739 66.345447 83.682443 103.578571 125.470823 151.157973
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 33.518024 47.500944 63.836242 83.893887 107.450958 133.872506 165.388063
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 29.469841 44.299992 62.171999 84.653061 111.580752 142.266608 179.361705
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 25.304818 40.474650 59.350553 83.672250 113.365284 147.716522 189.763984
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 22.810750 38.518517 58.606176 85.010257 117.746637 156.074865 203.450525
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 20.817459 37.013281 58.260808 86.699241 122.444736 164.736975 217.455293
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 18.098366 34.227585 56.030745 85.820479 123.841974 169.348019 226.594365
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.285313 31.010930 52.987266 83.686767 123.505263 171.732992 232.973328
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.549418 30.816875 54.008999 86.829670 129.794652 182.185609 249.062317
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.603406 30.199505 54.372895 89.051924 134.886952 191.166199 263.391458
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.740169 27.957957 52.332380 87.985826 135.745725 194.953436 271.496235
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.055045 25.816594 50.293475 86.808134 136.377893 198.408698 279.173038
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.897806 24.444620 49.290267 86.980663 138.719211 203.967059 289.414784
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.875418 23.189122 48.373657 87.205400 141.081501 209.524461 299.646419
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.075475 22.251090 47.879821 87.981812 144.149642 215.965283 310.979592
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.009753 20.638606 46.211575 86.977393 144.751573 219.209232 318.293622
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.487449 20.071736 46.187617 88.347779 148.570434 226.592083 330.816932
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.071586 19.678909 46.418602 90.077391 152.877620 234.615302 344.170205
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.280915 18.316389 44.935991 89.177530 153.506816 237.829482 351.426762
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.409556 16.573290 42.672750 86.992242 152.266422 238.541455 355.460806
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.331594 16.823255 43.919093 90.210944 158.634326 249.279901 372.322978